FatFIRE Math

Scenarios

Three sample households.

Compare income, tax, annual spending, savings and retirement targets for a software developer in Seattle, a plumber in Cincinnati and a physician in Texas. Open a scenario in the calculator to change any value.

Scenario Income Saves a year Savings rate Fat FIRE number Median climb
Seattle software developer Senior engineer, 32, big-tech employer, no state income tax $260,000 $96,000 50% $4,285,714 17 years
Cincinnati plumber Owns a three-van shop, 41, Ohio state income tax $185,000 $55,000 40% $2,933,333 19 years
Texas doctor Hospital-employed specialist, 38, no state income tax $420,000 $150,000 54% $6,769,231 17 years

Income is gross, before tax. The savings rate is what is left of take-home pay after the household spends. The Fat FIRE number is the retirement spending divided by that scenario's withdrawal rate, and the median climb is how long the saving took starting from the median year on record.

The Seattle software developer

Senior engineer, 32, big-tech employer, no state income tax

High pay, high volatility: a third of the income arrives as stock that vests, so the savings rate is real but the paycheque is not the whole story. Washington charges no state income tax, which is worth roughly a year of extra saving over a decade.

What comes in A year
Base salary $175,000
Annual bonus $25,000
Vesting stock Taxed as income when it vests $60,000
Tax and payroll Federal, payroll and state where there is one −$68,000
Take-home $192,000
What goes out A year
Housing — mortgage, tax, insurance $42,000
Food and eating out $12,000
Transport $6,000
Travel $9,000
Health and insurance $7,200
Everything else $19,800
Saved and invested $96,000

Already invested: $310,000. 401(k), brokerage and vested stock, not counting home equity.

Retirement spending: $150,000 a year at a 3.5% withdrawal rate. More than the current budget, because the plan is to travel properly and to stop optimising groceries.

Allocation: All stocks. Saving grows 1.5% a year above inflation — Raises and promotions, net of lifestyle creep.

Fat FIRE number $4,285,714
Median climb 17 years
Slowest start 26 years
The climb, from every starting year Real dollars
Every starting year on record, climbing towards your Fat FIRE number$0$2.0M$4.0MYour number, $4.3MNow+10+20+30+40
On the median starting year, this plan reached $4,285,714 in 17 years. Across the 84 starting years the record can judge, the quickest took 10 and the slowest took 26. Every one of them got there inside the time you gave the plan.

The Cincinnati plumber

Owns a three-van shop, 41, Ohio state income tax

A trade business is the quiet Fat FIRE route: the income is lower than a tech salary but the cost of living in Cincinnati is well below the national average, so the gap between earning and spending is wider than the headline numbers suggest. Health insurance is bought, not given.

What comes in A year
Owner's wages $95,000
Business profit After paying two employed plumbers $90,000
Tax and payroll Federal, payroll and state where there is one −$48,000
Take-home $137,000
What goes out A year
Housing — mortgage, tax, insurance $21,600
Food and eating out $10,800
Two trucks $8,400
Family health insurance $14,400
Travel $6,000
Everything else $20,800
Saved and invested $55,000

Already invested: $240,000. SEP-IRA and brokerage. The business itself is not counted — selling it is a bonus, not a plan.

Retirement spending: $110,000 a year at a 3.8% withdrawal rate. Comfortable in Cincinnati, where the cost of living runs below the US average.

Allocation: 80 / 20 stocks and bonds. Saving grows 1.0% a year above inflation — A third van, eventually.

Fat FIRE number $2,933,333
Median climb 19 years
Slowest start 29 years
The climb, from every starting year Real dollars
Every starting year on record, climbing towards your Fat FIRE number$0$1.0M$2.0M$3.0MYour number, $2.9MNow+10+20+30+40
On the median starting year, this plan reached $2,933,333 in 19 years. Across the 81 starting years the record can judge, the quickest took 12 and the slowest took 29. Every one of them got there inside the time you gave the plan.

The Texas doctor

Hospital-employed specialist, 38, no state income tax

The classic late start: nothing was saved until 31, and the loans are still being paid. Very high income makes the climb steep and short, but the target is high too — a Fat FIRE number scales with the life you intend to keep, and this one is expensive.

What comes in A year
Base compensation $380,000
Productivity bonus $40,000
Tax and payroll Federal, payroll and state where there is one −$140,000
Take-home $280,000
What goes out A year
Housing — mortgage, tax, insurance $39,000
Student loans Six years left $33,600
Food and eating out $15,600
Childcare and schooling $18,000
Transport $7,200
Everything else $16,600
Saved and invested $150,000

Already invested: $520,000. Started at 31. Residency pays, but not like this.

Retirement spending: $220,000 a year at a 3.3% withdrawal rate. The current life minus the loans, plus the travel that never happened during residency.

Allocation: 80 / 20 stocks and bonds. Saving grows 2.0% a year above inflation — The loan payment becomes savings once the loans clear.

Fat FIRE number $6,769,231
Median climb 17 years
Slowest start 27 years
The climb, from every starting year Real dollars
Every starting year on record, climbing towards your Fat FIRE number$0$2.0M$4.0M$6.0MYour number, $6.8MNow+10+20+30
On the median starting year, this plan reached $6,769,231 in 17 years. Across the 83 starting years the record can judge, the quickest took 12 and the slowest took 27. Every one of them got there inside the time you gave the plan.

About these figures

These are illustrative composites, not records of real people. Pay figures draw on federal wage data for trades and compensation surveys for engineering and medicine. Household budgets are estimates for the stated cities and incomes. Gross and take-home figures are labelled separately, and all calculator inputs can be changed.